| Titre : | Public policy in an uncertain world : analysis and decisions | | Type de document : | texte imprimé | | Auteurs : | Charles F. Manski | | Editeur : | Cambridge, Mass. : Harvard University Press | | Année de publication : | 2013 | | Importance : | XI-199 p. | | Présentation : | graph., tabl. | | Format : | 24 cm | | ISBN/ISSN/EAN : | 978-0-674-06689-2 | | Note générale : | Bibliogr. p. 183-191. Index
| | Langues : | Anglais (eng) | | Descripteurs : | Évaluation des politiques publiques ; Microéconomie ; Politique publique ; Sciences politiques
| | Index. décimale : | 721 Économie publique : généralités - théories | | Résumé : | Charles Manski argues here that current policy is based on untrustworthy analysis. By failing to account for uncertainty in an unpredictable world, policy analysis misleads policy makers with expressions of certitude. This book critiques the status quo and offers an innovation to improve how policy research is conducted and how policy makers use research. Consumers of policy analysis, whether civil servants, journalists, or concerned citizens, need to understand research methodology well enough to properly assess reported findings. In the current model, policy researchers base their predictions on strong assumptions. But as Manski demonstrates, strong assumptions lead to less credible predictions than weaker ones. His alternative approach takes account of uncertainty and thereby moves policy analysis away from incredible certitude and toward honest portrayal of partial knowledge. Manski describes analysis of research on such topics as the effect of the death penalty on homicide, of unemployment insurance on job-seeking, and of preschooling on high school graduation. And he uses other real-world scenarios to illustrate the course he recommends, in which policy makers form reasonable decisions based on partial knowledge of outcomes, and journalists evaluate research claims more closely, with a skeptical eye toward expressions of certitude. [D'après le résumé de l'éditeur] | | Note de contenu : | Voir résumé et/ou sommaire détaillé en ligne sur le site de l’éditeur. | | En ligne : | http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674066892 | | Permalink : | http://genes.bibli.fr/opac/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=101718 |
Public policy in an uncertain world : analysis and decisions [texte imprimé] / Charles F. Manski . - Cambridge, Mass. : Harvard University Press, 2013 . - XI-199 p. : graph., tabl. ; 24 cm. ISBN : 978-0-674-06689-2 Bibliogr. p. 183-191. Index
Langues : Anglais ( eng) | Descripteurs : | Évaluation des politiques publiques ; Microéconomie ; Politique publique ; Sciences politiques
| | Index. décimale : | 721 Économie publique : généralités - théories | | Résumé : | Charles Manski argues here that current policy is based on untrustworthy analysis. By failing to account for uncertainty in an unpredictable world, policy analysis misleads policy makers with expressions of certitude. This book critiques the status quo and offers an innovation to improve how policy research is conducted and how policy makers use research. Consumers of policy analysis, whether civil servants, journalists, or concerned citizens, need to understand research methodology well enough to properly assess reported findings. In the current model, policy researchers base their predictions on strong assumptions. But as Manski demonstrates, strong assumptions lead to less credible predictions than weaker ones. His alternative approach takes account of uncertainty and thereby moves policy analysis away from incredible certitude and toward honest portrayal of partial knowledge. Manski describes analysis of research on such topics as the effect of the death penalty on homicide, of unemployment insurance on job-seeking, and of preschooling on high school graduation. And he uses other real-world scenarios to illustrate the course he recommends, in which policy makers form reasonable decisions based on partial knowledge of outcomes, and journalists evaluate research claims more closely, with a skeptical eye toward expressions of certitude. [D'après le résumé de l'éditeur] | | Note de contenu : | Voir résumé et/ou sommaire détaillé en ligne sur le site de l’éditeur. | | En ligne : | http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674066892 | | Permalink : | http://genes.bibli.fr/opac/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=101718 |
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Ajouter le résultat dans votre panier Faire une suggestion Affiner la recherche Interroger des sources externesMacroeconomics at the service of public policy / Oxford (GBR) ; New York ; Paris : OUP. Oxford University Press (2013)
